中国房地产行业季度分析报告
目 录 Ⅰ 基础数据 3 一、全国房地产开发投资情况 3 二、各地区房地产开发投资情况 3 三、全国房地产土地开发与销售情况 5 四、各地区土地开发与购置增长情况 5 五、各地区房地产开发规模与开、竣工面积增长情况 7 六、各地区商品房住宅销售增长情况 8 Ⅱ 市场运行状况 10 一、上半年房地产市场综合景气指数呈回落态势 10 二、上半年房地产市场供给情况分析 11 （一）投资增幅逐月降低，增速过猛势头得到初步遏制 11 （二）房地产开发和消费贷款增速放缓，资金来源偏紧 13 （三）施工面积大幅增长，竣工面积增长缓慢 14 三、上半年房地产市场需求情况分析 16 （一）商品房销售面积同比增长26.39% 16 （二）商品房销售额同比增长40.9% 16 四、上半年商品房空置面积增幅比一季度回落5.1% 17 五、上半年全国房地产市场价格呈快速上涨态势 18 （一）房屋销售价格上涨10.4% 19 （二）土地交易价格上涨11.5% 21 （三）房屋租赁价格与一季度持平 22 Ⅲ 热点问题分析 24 一、宏观紧缩政策将加剧行业结构调整 24 二、建筑原材料价格上涨使企业开发成本上升 31 三、开征物业税有利于平抑房价，降低购房门槛 35 Ⅳ 下半年趋势预测 40 一、投资增速将继续回落 平均盈利水平降低 40 二、房价走势仍将以升为主，但涨势不会过大 41 三、有关部门将继续加大信贷和土地方面的紧缩力度 42 Ⅰ 基础数据 一、全国房地产开发投资情况 单位：亿元，% |主要指标 |自年初累计|比去年 |比重（以投资总额 | | |实际完成投|同期增长 |为100） | | |资 | | | | | | |自年初累 |去年同 | | | | |计 |期 | |投资完成额 |4923.69 |28.7 |100.0 |100.0 | |其中：国有经济 |1154.53 |46.3 |23.4 |20.6 | |控股 | | | | | |商品房建设投资 |3542.25 |30.1 |71.9 |71.2 | |土地开发投资 |232.76 |0.2 |4.7 |6.1 | |一、按工程用途分 | |住宅 |3362.35 |29.7 |68.3 |67.8 | |其中：经济适用 |236.98 |4.2 |4.8 |5.9 | |房 | | | | | |办公楼 |245.04 |38.3 |5.0 |4.6 | |商业营业用房 |614.21 |33.6 |12.5 |12.0 | |其他 |702.1 |18.0 |14.3 |15.6 | |二、按构成分：　 | |建筑工程 |3177.13 |33.7 |64.5 |62.1 | |安装工程 |198.99 |31.7 |4.0 |4.0 | |设备工器具购置 |62.98 |31.7 |1.3 |1.3 | |其他费用 |1484.59 |18.9 |30.2 |32.7 | |其中：土地购置 |903.95 |20.4 |18.4 |19.6 | |费 | | | | | |计划总投资 |38459.75 |33.2 |　 |　 | |本年计划投资 |11947.25 |26.0 |　 |　 | |新增固定资产 |1692.89 |39.4 |　 |　 | 二、各地区房地产开发投资情况 单位：亿元，% |地区 |投资额| | |比去 | | | | | | | |年 | | | | | | | |同期 | | | | | | | |增长 | | | |天津 |122.71|87.97 |14.65 |22.4 |39.5|-52.4 | |河北 |113.45|78.61 |16.18 |28.9 |36.5|10.0 | |辽宁 |197.52|140.99|4.29 |22.1 |22.3|-55.8 | |上海 |502.77|385.92|0.00 |20.4 |17.5|0.0 | |江苏 |450.1 |329.41|17.71 |36.2 |36.7|5.7 | |浙江 |502.02|384.23|15.00 |40.3 |48.9|55.1 | |福建 |198.92|131.14|4.92 |37.2 |42.7|149.2 | |山东 |288.98|216.46|17.99 |35.5 |42.9|51.6 | |广东 |557.11|365.38|3.97 |9.9 |0.5 |-19.5 | |海南 |22.62 |17.83 |1.52 |116.9|110.|82.2 | | | | | | |5 | | |二、中部 |302.21|475.12|54.87 |41.5 |51.2|13.0 | |地区 | | | | | | | |吉林 |48.94 |36.12 |3.39 |20.4 |28.4|-33.4 | |黑龙江 |50.20 |33.16 |8.20 |30.2 |50.6|48.6 | |安徽 |132.83|93.45 |4.02 |48.4 |51.7|-26.0 | |江西 |85.21 |53.74 |6.37 |32.6 |43.1|25.8 | |河南 |92.41 |68.76 |8.86 |42.0 |42.2|27.6 | |湖北 |118.25|84.06 |3.88 |61.5 |67.1|-4.2 | |湖南 |136.85|84.71 |16.32 |39.7 |59.7|52.2 | |三、西部 |775.13|487.86|59.02 |28.7 |28.1|12.4 | |地区 | | | | | | | |广西 |75.85 |46.67 |0.52 |39.1 |36.0|-54.8 | |重庆 |153.08|83.09 |6.90 |35.8 |31.2|29.4 | |四川 |216.41|153.69|8.67 |16.8 |20.6|1.0 | |贵州 |44.98 |26.99 |3.56 |14.5 |23.7|67.7 | |云南 |57.10 |37.42 |6.63 |38.6 |36.2|-16.1 | |西藏 |1.55 |1.31 |0.72 |98.2 |106.|13.7 | | | | | | |1 | | |陕西 |89.30 |54.40 |11.40 |36.8 |21.8|0.7 | |甘肃 |26.71 |18.90 |4.76 |35.7 |38.0|40.8 | |青海 |11.17 |6.63 |1.44 |25.1 |17.7|-24.7 | |宁夏 |21.27 |14.09 |2.15 |23.1 |23.3|160.2 | |新疆 |40.28 |21.88 |9.11 |39.3 |43.5|31.7 | 三、全国房地产土地开发与销售情况 单位：万平方米，亿元 |主要指标 |实际完成 |比去年同期增减 | | |自年初累 |去年同 |绝对数 |±％ | | |计 |期 | | | |一、土地开发与购置情况　 | |1、本年购置土地面积|15489.4 |15072.0|417.38 |2.8 | | | |3 | | | |2、完成开发土地面积|7920.23 |7103.64|816.59 |11.5 | |3、本年土地成交价款|956.89 |　 |　 |　 | |二、商品房建筑、销售面积　 | |1、施工面积 |97785.41 |77705.0|20080.40 |25.8 | | | |1 | | | |其中：新开工面积 |28036.74 |24337.0|3699.70 |15.2 | | | |4 | | | |2、竣工面积 |9552.98 |8266.19|1286.79 |15.6 | |3、销售建筑面积 |11009.88 |8717.55|2292.33 |26.3 | |三、商品房竣工价值 |1321.05 |1177.99|143.06 |12.1 | |四、商品房销售额 |2973.54 |2110.51|863.03 |40.9 | |其中：销售给个人 |2740.33 |1924.78|815.55 |42.4 | 四、各地区土地开发与购置增长情况 单位：亿元，万平方米，% |地区 |土地 |本年购 |完成开 |比去年同期增长 | | |购置费|置 |发 | | | | |土地面 |土地面 | | | | |积 |积 | | | | | | |土地 |购置土|完成开| | | | | |购置费|地面积|发土地| | | | | | | |面积 | |一、东部地|643.94|7997.26|4634.77|17.7 |0.4 |8.3 | |区 | | | | | | | |天津 |11.40 |148.54 |270.03 |13.6 |81.5 |-39.8 | |河北 |18.32 |527.87 |129.18 |25.4 |14.6 |-25.9 | |辽宁 |39.09 |616.63 |455.35 |16.0 |27.1 |39.9 | |上海 |67.68 |326.27 |185.87 |7.4 |-34.7 |20.4 | |江苏 |102.22|1701.04|930.39 |10.0 |38.5 |67.9 | |浙江 |160.54|900.49 |577.42 |32.0 |-26.2 |15.2 | |福建 |42.01 |740.88 |375.68 |49.7 |38.0 |35.6 | |山东 |55.03 |1480.83|776.13 |57.3 |20.1 |16.9 | |广东 |73.83 |1250.18|793.31 |-2.8 |17.6 |-18.5 | |二、中部地|133.65|3761.69|1732.32|37.5 |9.4 |2.7 | |区 | | | | | | | |古林 |16.92 |211.45 |86.06 |34.5 |10.6 |-2.3 | |黑龙江 |7.39 |213.03 |164.75 |0.8 |18.5 |72.7 | |安徽 |31.08 |734.45 |237.26 |46.0 |11.7 |-19.9 | |江西 |15.57 |480.82 |280.97 |15.4 |-28.4 |-3.2 | |河南 |18.34 |462.80 |140.79 |57.1 |8.1 |-20.3 | |湖北 |24.47 |696.19 |302.42 |158.3 |75.4 |23.4 | |湖南 |20.20 |819.87 |470.69 |-9.2 |-1.8 |6.6 | |三、西部地|126.36|3730.46|1553.15|18.4 |1.8 |36.6 | |区 | | | | | | | |广西 |10.29 |332.17 |213.52 |28.2 |25.3 |27.3 | |重庆 |15.20 |507.55 |424.73 |36.5 |12.0 |185.4 | |四川 |50.70 |956.56 |59.85 |22.5 |3.8 |51.6 | |贵州 |5.22 |259.99 |134.04 |16.9 |25.0 |7.5 | |云南 |10.01 |336.69 |171.81 |1.6 |-56.7 |31.5 | |西藏 |　 |　 |　 |　 |　 |　 | |陕西 |13.45 |181.38 |153.10 |22.9 |4.8 |169.7 | |甘肃 |3.01 |92.93 |61.12 |24.3 |-24.5 |-38.7 | |青海 |1.71 |86.43 |61.23 |-8.5 |56.4 |87.4 | |宁夏 |1.87 |113.20 |16.89 |-49.4 |37.2 |-27.8 | |新疆 |6.68 |521.63 |122.18 |37.5 |68.1 |38.8 | 五、各地区房地产开发规模与开、竣工面积增长情况 单位：万平方米，% |地区 |施工面 | |竣工面 |比去年同期增长 | | |积 | |积 | | | | |新开工 | |施工 | |竣工 | | | |面积 | |面积 | |面积 | |一、东部地|61531.5|16054.5|5888.23|24.2 |15.5 |11.6 | |区 |4 |3 | | | | | |天津 |1719.16|490.94 |267.18 |13.1 |33.6 |25.6 | |河北 |2165.69|865.62 |181.56 |21.5 |16.2 |22.7 | |辽宁 |3849.77|1437.84|197.81 |19.4 |13.4 |-9.3 | |上海 |7464.77|1499.62|718.15 |18.4 |-5.2 |12.7 | |江苏 |8270.54|3055.65|892.76 |55.0 |47.8 |39.5 | |浙江 |10076.1|2346.22|724.79 |36.6 |20.2 |5.6 | | |4 | | | | | | |福建 |4466.76|895.24 |465.51 |25.0 |2.0 |17.9 | |山东 |5536.08|1924.52|480.96 |27.6 |10.5 |21.2 | |广东 |10304.4|2305.28|1231.43|6.7 |5.3 |-13.5| | |3 | | | | | | |海南 |437.09 |79.24 |15.29 |46.4 |-5.1 |52.9 | |二、中部地|15791.6|5557.19|1618.30|36.7 |26.1 |21.3 | |区 |4 | | | | | | |古林 |868.49 |470.56 |51.14 |6.3 |12.1 |249.6| |黑龙江 |1423.93|619.53 |58.01 |46.6 |36.0 |32.8 | |安徽 |2857.28|975.82 |317.33 |42.4 |23.9 |-2.6 | |江西 |2052.27|688.14 |226.38 |41.7 |0.2 |14.1 | |河南 |2591.19|762.15 |258.17 |41.6 |55.1 |22.7 | |湖北 |2469.09|884.79 |255.56 |31.4 |42.4 |14.4 | |湖南 |2705.08|855.68 |384.66 |38.5 |21.1 |36.9 | |三、西部地|20462.2|6424.92|2046.45|23.2 |6.6 |23.7 | |区 ...
中国房地产行业季度分析报告